Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 6.963380e-01 0.894479 1.117554 1.384313 1.691662 2.031851 2.433989
2025-05-04 4.114433e-01 0.652116 0.959454 1.366867 1.879186 2.489331 3.257934
2025-05-11 2.343719e-01 0.472272 0.819655 1.327953 2.018348 2.891639 4.047497
2025-05-18 1.399803e-01 0.365296 0.741252 1.342399 2.213076 3.367915 4.954430
2025-05-25 7.441196e-02 0.268419 0.645331 1.305646 2.322873 3.731885 5.732188
2025-06-01 4.678856e-02 0.227951 0.627851 1.378996 2.588584 4.314924 6.820241
2025-06-08 2.441510e-02 0.178922 0.576985 1.384570 2.746918 4.751142 7.723800
2025-06-15 1.542745e-02 0.160828 0.582201 1.484536 3.054836 5.411025 8.954648
2025-06-22 8.302867e-03 0.137924 0.568196 1.544644 3.299482 5.985575 10.081653
2025-06-29 3.560272e-03 0.113474 0.540561 1.572126 3.488588 6.481608 11.108852
2025-07-06 8.196751e-04 0.084947 0.488152 1.539140 3.568905 6.812248 11.904296
2025-07-13 1.282608e-04 0.068921 0.464576 1.560969 3.742523 7.288810 12.920247
2025-07-20 6.094722e-07 0.054615 0.439825 1.578415 3.913504 7.774719 13.975139
2025-07-27 NaN 0.037672 0.391674 1.532197 3.963381 8.070017 14.755801
2025-08-03 NaN 0.024392 0.344308 1.476505 3.988385 8.323389 15.477899
2025-08-10 NaN 0.017846 0.323749 1.485005 4.135945 8.779987 16.516887
2025-08-17 NaN 0.010886 0.287576 1.442060 4.176434 9.058173 17.287025
2025-08-24 NaN 0.009430 0.292608 1.518630 4.463158 9.757231 18.719778
2025-08-31 NaN 0.006337 0.275021 1.523604 4.601304 10.207083 19.772705
2025-09-07 NaN 0.006056 0.289179 1.629730 4.956452 11.035996 21.430983
2025-09-14 NaN 0.004938 0.290121 1.693497 5.224119 11.719782 22.871419
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003479 0.280986 1.722612 5.418464 12.280661 24.126526
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001735 0.254574 1.687416 5.470256 12.593434 24.993270